{"id":33531,"date":"2018-09-20T13:43:50","date_gmt":"2018-09-20T18:43:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/innovatori.space\/lat21\/?p=33531"},"modified":"2018-09-20T14:06:12","modified_gmt":"2018-09-20T19:06:12","slug":"la-ocde-recorta-tres-decimas-en-expectativas-de-crecimiento-nacional","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/l21.mx\/?p=33531","title":{"rendered":"La OCDE recorta tres d\u00e9cimas en expectativas de crecimiento nacional"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/a>

Jos\u00e9 Angel Gurr\u00eda Trevi\u00f1o, el Secretario General de la Organizaci\u00f3n para la Cooperaci\u00f3n y el Desarrollo Econ\u00f3mico (OCDE). Foto:Eleconomista<\/p><\/div>\n

La OCDE ve \u201cun avance moderado\u201d en la actividad econ\u00f3mica que llevar\u00eda la tasa del PIB a 2.5 por ciento para el 2019. Esta previsi\u00f3n\u00a0contrasta con 2.8% que estimaba el organismo todav\u00eda en mayo.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

La Organizaci\u00f3n para la Cooperaci\u00f3n y el Desarrollo Econ\u00f3mico (OCDE), recort\u00f3 este Jueves, las expectativas de crecimiento de M\u00e9xico para este 2018 y 2019<\/strong>, incorporando en su pron\u00f3stico, el impacto del \u201crelativo endurecimiento de las pol\u00edticas monetaria y fiscal\u201d y de la incertidumbre en la inversi\u00f3n respecto al acuerdo comercial con Estados Unidos.<\/p>\n

El documento detalla que la econom\u00eda nacional sigue \u201cmuy expuesta\u201d<\/strong> a choques provenientes del exterior dado que \u201clas pol\u00edticas fiscales y monetarias son relativamente estrictas\u201d.<\/p>\n

A nivel mundial, el organismo alert\u00f3 que la econom\u00eda puede haber llegado a un punto m\u00e1ximo y estar acerc\u00e1ndose a un periodo de contracci\u00f3n<\/strong>. \u201cEl crecimiento se ha vuelto menos amplio con perspectivas divergentes en las principales econom\u00edas, principalmente las emergentes\u00bb.<\/p>\n

En su actualizaci\u00f3n de expectativas, incluida en el Interim Economic Report, la OCDE redujo en 3 d\u00e9cimas de punto su pron\u00f3stico para el Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) para el 2018, ubic\u00e1ndolo ahora con una tasa de 2.2 por ciento.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Con este ajuste, el pron\u00f3stico de la OCDE se encuentra en l\u00ednea con el consenso del mercado recabado al iniciar el mes por la consultor\u00eda internacional FocusEconomics, que est\u00e1 tambi\u00e9n en 2.2%, y se despega del que actualiz\u00f3 el Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) en julio, al mantenerlo en 2.3% para este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

Reconocen que la actividad mexicana estar\u00e1 sostenida en una renovaci\u00f3n de confianza entre los consumidores, resultado de las elecciones de julio.\u00a0Adem\u00e1s, pronostica que el s\u00f3lido flujo de remesas y la depreciaci\u00f3n del peso tambi\u00e9n ser\u00e1n motores de la demanda interna.<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>

Prev\u00e9n que para el 2019 la expansi\u00f3n global conseguir\u00e1 una tasa de 3.7%, que dista 2 d\u00e9cimas de 3.9% esperado en mayo. Foto:eluniversal<\/p><\/div>\n

De acuerdo con el sumario del documento, liberado en avanzada por la entidad, M\u00e9xico padeci\u00f3 el recorte de expectativas, junto con la eurozona, Alemania, Francia, Italia, Corea del Sur, Turqu\u00eda, Reino Unido, Argentina, Brasil, Indonesia y Sud\u00e1frica.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Para Estados Unidos, la primera econom\u00eda del mundo, mantuvieron sin cambio el pron\u00f3stico en 2.9% para el 2018, pero s\u00ed le bajaron la previsi\u00f3n para el 2019 en 1 d\u00e9cima, estimando una expansi\u00f3n de 2.7 por ciento.<\/p>\n

Recomendaron fortalecer las regulaciones fiscales y bancarias para fortalecer la resiliencia de la zona del euro, sobre todo. Sugieren restaurar los ahorros fiscales y ampliar el margen de maniobra de la pol\u00edtica monetaria para garantizar una intervenci\u00f3n futura en caso de requerirse.<\/strong><\/p>\n

En la primera semana de octubre, el FMI informar\u00e1 tambi\u00e9n su actualizaci\u00f3n de expectativas econ\u00f3micas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La OCDE ve \u201cun avance moderado\u201d en la actividad econ\u00f3mica que llevar\u00eda la tasa del PIB…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":69,"featured_media":33533,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_mbp_gutenberg_autopost":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33531","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-empresas-y-negocios","category-noticias"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nLa OCDE recorta tres d\u00e9cimas en expectativas de crecimiento nacional | Revista Latitud 21<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"L21, Emprendedores y Negocios en el Caribe Mexicano, es la revista l\u00edder entre el Sector Empresarial y Tur\u00edstico del Caribe Mexicano.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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